Time to call this by-election for the Lib Dems?

Despite some chatter of UKIP running the LDs close, Betfair has the Lib Dems at 1/20, and the consensus seems to be growing that they are going to hold on. I am guessing that the majority will be somewhere around the 1000 mark.

The next couple of hours are crucial for the Tories- but the longer the night has gone on, the more likely it has seemed that they will come third.

With all the talk of crisis for the Tories, it is perhaps time to say ‘well done’ to the Liberal Democrats- holding a seat when polling at around 8-10% nationally is a testament to their organisation at local level.

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