The Tories are down to third in the betting on Betfair, as spotted by Mike Smithson from Political Betting. If they do come third in this by-election, it will be a complete and utter disaster for David Cameron and his party.
Unsurprisingly, there is not too much else to report at the moment. The real action will start late this evening- follow it here.
My personal view is that the Lib Dems have done enough, and there may be a bit of ramping/covering bets on the betting sites- the Tories could still yet get second. Will be fascinating to see the result.